For a regression model, the actual value of y is 52 and the predicted value is ŷ = 47. Find the residual and interpret its sign.
Solution
Problem
For a regression model, the actual value of y is 52 and the predicted value is ŷ = 47. Find the residual and interpret its sign.
Step 1: Recall the residual formula.
Residual = observed value - predicted value
In symbols:
e = y - ŷ
Step 2: Identify the values.
Observed value:
y = 52
Predicted value:
ŷ = 47
Step 3: Calculate the residual.
e = 52 - 47
e = 5
Step 4: Interpret the sign.
The residual is positive because the observed value is greater than the predicted value.
A residual of 5 means the model underpredicted the actual value by 5 units.
Therefore, the residual is 5, and the positive sign indicates that the actual value is 5 units above the model's prediction.
Result
Residual = 5; the model underpredicted by 5 units